Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 120

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 120

Mesoscale Discussion 120
MD 120 graphic

   Mesoscale Discussion 0120
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1156 PM CST Sat Feb 10 2024

   Areas affected...TX Big Country into the Edwards Plateau

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 15...

   Valid 110556Z - 110730Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 15

   SUMMARY...The large hail threat is expected to increase overnight as
   storms move eastward.

   DISCUSSION...Elevated convection erupted earlier this evening from
   the western part of the Edwards Plateau into the TX Big Country, as
   an upper low approaching from NM began to impinge on the western
   portion of the primary instability axis. Increasing deep-layer shear
   will be supportive of organized convection overnight as convection
   moves eastward, and a few supercells may continue to evolve (like
   recent development south of Abilene and west of San Angelo) out of
   the ongoing elevated storm cluster overnight. MUCAPE increasing into
   1000 J/kg and steep midlevel lapse rates will continue to support a
   hail threat, with very large hail of 2-2.5 inches in diameter
   possible with any stronger supercell. 

   As long as storms remain semi-discrete and elevated, hail will be
   the primary threat, with perhaps some localized strong gusts. If
   convection can build into the southern portion of WW 15 closer to
   the surface boundary, then the threat may increase for a
   near-surface-based supercell, which might pose a conditional risk of
   all severe hazards. That scenario remains very uncertain at this
   time, however.

   ..Dean.. 02/11/2024

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   30510217 31780056 32369941 32939903 32789829 32239821
               31209886 30120009 29780059 29660102 29660115 29730188
               29860225 30260237 30510217 

Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home

Disasters Expo USA, is proud to be supported by Inergency for their next upcoming edition on March 6th & 7th 2024!

The leading event mitigating the world’s most costly disasters is returning to the Miami Beach

Convention Center and we want you to join us at the industry’s central platform for emergency management professionals.
Disasters Expo USA is proud to provide a central platform for the industry to connect and
engage with the industry’s leading professionals to better prepare, protect, prevent, respond
and recover from the disasters of today.
Hosting a dedicated platform for the convergence of disaster risk reduction, the keynote line up for Disasters Expo USA 2024 will provide an insight into successful case studies and
programs to accurately prepare for disasters. Featuring sessions from the likes of The Federal Emergency Management Agency,
NASA, The National Aeronautics and Space Administration, NOAA, The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, TSA and several more this event is certainly providing you with the knowledge
required to prepare, respond and recover to disasters.
With over 50 hours worth of unmissable content, exciting new features such as their Disaster
Resilience Roundtable, Emergency Response Live, an Immersive Hurricane Simulation and
much more over just two days, you are guaranteed to gain an all-encompassing insight into
the industry to tackle the challenges of disasters.
By uniting global disaster risk management experts, well experienced emergency
responders and the leading innovators from the world, the event is the hub of the solutions
that provide attendees with tools that they can use to protect the communities and mitigate
the damage from disasters.
Tickets for the event are $119, but we have been given the promo code: HUGI100 that will
enable you to attend the event for FREE!

So don’t miss out and register today:

And in case you missed it, here is our ultimate road trip playlist is the perfect mix of podcasts, and hidden gems that will keep you energized for the entire journey


This website uses cookies to improve your experience. We'll assume you're ok with this, but you can opt-out if you wish. Accept Read More