Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 231

   Mesoscale Discussion 0231
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1155 AM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

   Areas affected...parts if eastern IN...western and central Ohio and
   far northern Kentucky

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 41...

   Valid 141655Z - 141800Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 41
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The severe risk across WW41 continues. Some downstream
   local extension is possible in the next hour or two.

   DISCUSSION...As of 1650 UTC, a well-developed squall line was
   ongoing across eastern IN nearing the OH border. These storms have
   produced numerous reports of small hail and occasional strong gusts
   over the last couple  of hours. The line of storms should continue
   eastward crossing into OH within the next hour and remain capable of
   isolated severe gusts. Ahead of the line, drier air is in place and
   buoyancy decreases quickly across central OH. As the line begins to
   enter the more stable air later this afternoon a gradual downtrend
   in convective intensity is likely. Still, the line has remained well
   organized thus far and is likely capable of damaging gusts and small
   hail. With this in mind, the eastern extent of the severe risk
   remains somewhat unclear. As the line moves into OH, a local
   extension of WW41 may be needed across parts of central OH before it
   weakens further.

   ..Lyons/Goss.. 03/14/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...LMK...IWX...IND...

   LAT...LON   39588598 40818527 41378469 41528397 41468364 41068331
               40498318 39888322 39448329 39058354 38728410 38388481
               38268525 38178579 38108640 38148670 38318692 38638688
               39588598