Impacts of Spatio-Temporal Changes in Anthropogenic Disturbances on Landscape Patterns in the Nandu River Basin, China

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1. Introduction

A landscape pattern (LP) is defined as the specific manifestation of landscape heterogeneity in space under the combined influence of natural factors and human management activities [1]. It additionally functions as a comprehensive representation of human behaviors and economic advancements within specific societal contexts [2]. However, the impact of rapid socio-economic development, urbanization, and industrialization, coupled with a burgeoning population, has engendered profound repercussions on regional LP and ecosystems through increasingly intensified land development and utilization [3,4,5]. The impact of human activities on the pattern of landscapes is especially noticeable [6]. While causing significant changes in regional landscape types and ecological processes, the landscape types tend to be homogenized, and the changes in the original patterns, functions, and structures of regional ecosystems are intensified [7]. Unreasonable land development is one of the most important reasons for the generation and aggravation of ecological and environmental problems [8]. The aforementioned phenomenon also induces irreversible alterations in the functionality and structure of the landscape, resulting in severe detriment to the ecological environment [9]. Therefore, accurate identification of the characteristics of anthropogenic disturbance (AD) and quantification of its intensity as well as its temporal and spatial distribution is of paramount importance. Additionally, conducting a quantitative analysis of the correlation between LP and AD would help to unveil the fluctuating alterations in regional landscape patterns and their corresponding response mechanisms. These findings are crucial for effectively regulating human activities, ensuring ecological protection of regional landscapes, and promoting sustainable development within watersheds.
Hemeroby was introduced as a comprehensive index by Finnish botanist Jalas during his preliminary investigation into the influence of human activities on forest ecosystems [10]. This index has gained widespread recognition for assessing the influence of human activities and land use and land cover change (LULCC) on ecosystems and their components [11]. In recent years, the research on the degree of AD and the spatial differentiation of LP has made some achievements at home and abroad. Zhang [12] evaluated the mechanism of response of LP to intense human activities in the Three Gorges Reservoir area. Wang [11] used a GIS spatial analysis and geographic detectors to explore the spatio-temporal distribution and various driving forces of AD in the Guangdong–Hong Kong–Macao Greater Bay Area. Feng [13] analyzed the landscape ecological security and LULCC in the typical areas of eastern Qinghai–Tibet Plateau. Guo [14] applied the LP index and AD degree index to quantify the spatio-temporal differences in AD in the Qinling mountains. However, these studies have neglected investigating the trajectory and spatial differentiation characteristics of the degree of AD in different periods. The geo-information atlas can better reveal the trajectory of AD with different temporal characteristics. Moreover, there are relatively few investigations on the trajectory of spatiotemporal variations in AD that are based on a geo-information atlas. At present, studies on the degree of AD mainly focus on urban areas [15], coastal zones [16], estuarine wetlands [17], and mountain areas [14]. However, in previous studies, there are relatively few analyses on the spatial differentiation and spatio-temporal evolution of interference due to human activities. It is rare to explore the mechanism of impact of AD on regional LP on the basis of a geo-information atlas. Especially in tropical or subtropical environments with typical natural settings and socio-economic backgrounds, research on the response relationship between watershed scale LP and AD remains relatively scarce. Therefore, it is crucial to investigate the changes in tropical basin LP and their underlying mechanisms in response to AD within the context of free trade island construction.
Nandu river, as the largest river and primary water source of Hainan Island in China, holds significant importance for its unique geographical position, climatic conditions, and ecological role. Consequently, it is commonly referred to as the ‘Red River’ of the Hainan Island [18]. However, due to the swift progress in the societal economy and increase in population, agricultural water usage has significantly increased. This has led to severe agricultural pollution in the basin. Furthermore, unauthorized and unregulated sand mining activities in certain river sections have inflicted ecological damage [19]. This damage has amplified since Hainan declared to build a free-trade island in 2018. In the context of a rapidly growing social economy in the region, an accelerated process of urbanization, and a significant population increase, the Nandu River basin (NRB) has witnessed rapid advancements in tropical and highly productive agriculture, the real estate sector, and modern fisheries. Human activities have further disturbed the natural and semi-natural ecosystems of the basin. Due to LULCC, especially the development of the riparian zone or Jiangdong New Area in urban areas, regional LP and types have changed significantly. This causes ecological problems and endangers the ecological security of the region [20]. Qualified scholars have carried out relevant studies on the NRB, from the aspects of LULCC [21], habitat quality [22], and spatial distribution of biodiversity [23]. But the mechanism underlying the response that drives the intensity of spatial changes in regional LP due to disturbances caused by human activities remains understudied. The change in LP and its influence on AD in the NRB under the backdrop of the construction of the international free-trade island are discussed less.

Therefore, given the background of national strategy, what is the optimal strategy to coordinate the development and utilization of land resources and AD in NRB? How can we guarantee the sustainable development goal of the river basin under the construction of the free trade pilot zone? The evaluation of AD provides an effective means of answering these questions. In view of this, this study selects the NRB as the research area and is based on LULCC data from four time periods (1990, 2000, 2010, and 2020). The spatio-temporal changes in the regional LP were quantitatively analyzed using LP indices, the hemeroby index, and a geo-information atlas. The spatial distribution characteristics and dynamic change trajectory of AD intensity was also quantified. This paper further investigates the spatio-temporal dynamics of AD on the evolution of regional LP and its underlying response mechanisms. It comprehensively and objectively elucidates the key drivers behind the changes in landscape and ecological processes in the NRB under anthropogenic activities. The objective of these findings is to provide technical support and establish a scientific foundation for the protection and restoration of the ecological environment across the entire basin.

3. Results

3.1. Characteristics of Spatio-Temporal Changes in LULCC

The landscape structure of the NRB from 1990 to 2020 is shown in Table 2. The largest proportions are the areas of the forestland, followed by croplands, both of which are the dominant landscape types at the study site, which share a combined area of more than 85%. The distribution of forestland is primarily concentrated in the central hilly and southern mountainous areas (Figure 2). The area occupies a certain dominant position, but the total area decreased by 25.27 km2 during the study period. Croplands were mainly distributed in the flat areas of the northern part of the basin, which have decreased, in total, by 62.76 km2. Notably, the period from 2010 to 2020 witnessed a substantial reduction of 22.95 km2 in the area of dry land. This decline mainly occurred within the urban and rural ecotones that are undergoing rapid urbanization. The grasslands were mainly distributed in the mountainous areas in the upper reaches and surrounding the Songtao reservoir. Their distribution was relatively scattered, and their total area decreased by 82 km2. Songtao is the largest reservoir and a key drinking water source in Hainan province. Since 2008, the Hainan provincial government has officially defined the scope of Songtao reservoir management and protection. Also, forestlands and grasslands, which form a natural LP in the local area, are protected to a certain extent. The built-up land is primarily concentrated within the main urban areas of the basin, exhibiting a significant increase in total area of 91.37%. Notably, the estuary region in the north represents the most prominent concentration area. The dynamic attitude for the development of other construction land, with a rate of 10.74% and 11.27%, reached its peak during the periods of 2000–2010 and 2010–2020, respectively. The rate of urban land change was most significant during 2010 to 2020 and witnessed a substantial rise of 49.61%. This indicates a gradual intensification in human intervention, which was particularly evident in the eastern and western coastal regions of Haikou. It directly reflects how rapid population growth drives the acceleration of the processes of urbanization and fosters swift regional economic development [36]. The proportion of unused land area is relatively small and showed a trend of continuous reduction. Except for a continuous reduction in beach land, the other water bodies continued to increase.

3.2. Characteristics of Spatio-Temporal Changes in LP

In terms of landscape level (Figure 3), LPI and MPS experienced a decline of 21.29% and 1.94%, respectively, during the period from 1990 to 2020. This shows that the degree of fragmentation in the NRB is increasing over time. Furthermore, LSI and ED exhibited an initial increase, followed by a subsequent decrease; a marginal overall increment of 0.72% and 0.73%, respectively, was observed in these parameters. This shows that the landscape patch shape in the basin was initially complicated, which was gradually regularized subsequently. SHEI exhibited a pattern of initial decline, followed by a subsequent increase. Its lowest value of 64.52% was recorded in 2000, while the highest value reached 67.19% in 2020; an overall positive growth of 2.24% was estimated. At the same time, AI declined by 4.16% during the study period. This shows that the landscape diversity of the NRB is increasing, but the landscape tends to be dispersed.
The indices of LPI, LSI, AI, and SHEI were employed to assess the overall spatial changes in landscape fragmentation, patch shape, and diversity in the basin (Figure 4). From 1990 to 2010, a declining trend in the LPI was observed in Chengmai, Ding’an, and Tunchang. Notably, both Chengmai and Tunchang have not only facilitated new construction for urbanization but also adjusted their industrial structure by vigorously developing characteristic leisure tourism and efficient tropical agricultural industries (agriculture with tropical characteristics). In the process of promoting the industrial transformation towards rejuvenating agriculture and increasing income while transitioning from traditional to modern and efficient agriculture, there has been an increase in the transformation and utilization of original landscape types along with related supporting facilities. Consequently, this has resulted in a decrease in the extent of large land patches, while an increase in small arable land patches was evident. The intensification of human activities, coupled with an expanded range of activities, have further exacerbated regional fragmentation. From 2010 to 2020, the expansion of LPI predominantly occurred within Haikou’s urban area. This was primarily driven by the setting up of the Hainan special economic and trade zone and by an accelerated urbanization. This disorderly pattern of development has resulted in the encroachment of regional forestlands and croplands and their re-integration and conversion into built-up land, such as transport lines, industrial land, housing, and office land. Consequently, this has caused a decrease in the fragmentation levels within building landscape types while increasing their aggregation degree.

The LSI changes from 1990 to 2000 were complicated; they mainly decreased in the southeast of Chengmai and increased in the west of Tunchang. Additionally, the Songtao reservoir decreased in the east and increased in the west during this specified time period. From 2000 to 2010, LSI was mainly concentrated in Danzhou and Haikou, which had mainly decreased. This indicated that the development advantage of a single landscape was prominent, which was influenced by human factors. From 2010 to 2020, Chengmai and Tunchang showed a trend of linear growth. The other regions mainly declined, especially Haikou, which showed a trend of spreading and gathering from the cluster to the periphery. The population of Haikou has witnessed a significant surge, soaring from 987,000 in 1990 to 2.89 million in 2020. This rapid urban expansion has led to an intensified AD on the regional landscape, resulting in simplified, regularized, and clustered patch shapes. Consequently, there is a growing trend towards landscape aggregation and fragmentation across diverse landscapes. Notably, the coastal zone of Haikou and the riverbank area, downstream of the NRB, are facing unprecedented environmental protection pressures.

From 1990 to 2010, AI revealed a fluctuating trend in the Songtao reservoir and in Tunchang, where initially a decline was recorded, which was followed by an increase. On the other hand, Chengmai experienced an initial increase and subsequently a decrease in AI. Conversely, SHEI displayed an opposite pattern to the Songtao reservoir. Tunchang witnessed an ascending trajectory before declining, whereas Chengmai exhibited a descending trend prior to rising. From 2010 to 2020, notable transformations were observed in the central and estuaries of the NRB. AI predominantly demonstrated a reduction in the central basin alongside an augmentation in the northern basin; conversely, SHEI primarily showcased an elevation in the central basin coupled with a decline in the northern basin.

3.3. Characteristics of Spatio-Temporal Changes in Hemeroby

3.3.1. Overall Characteristics and Spatial Distribution of Hemeroby

The spatial distribution of AD in the NRB (Figure 5) exhibited a gradient: higher levels were seen the northern region compared to those in the south, whereas a gradual increase from southwest to northeast was observed. Strong disturbances occupied a relatively small area (Table 3). The study period witnessed a consistent increase in building land, with an expansion of 652.32 km2. This was concentrated in the estuary area of the Nandu river and is currently the location of innovative trade, leisure tourism, cultural creativity, science and education highlands, and economic and technological development zones such as Xinbu, the Haidian islands, the Jiangdong new area (key area of the pilot free-trade zone), and the Beibu gulf city cluster in Haikou city. The aforementioned regions are subject to a significant degree of AD. At the beginning of the study, we had noticed that a higher disturbance had occupied a relatively large proportion of the area, which was primarily concentrated in the northeast, northwest, and other areas with rapid urbanization. However, at the end of the study, a significant decrease of 871.13 km2 was observed due to the influence of ecological policies. The changes due to moderate levels of disturbances were relatively complex. An overall trend of an initial decrease, then an increase, and finally sharp decreases was observed. Concentrated within the peripheral region of the higher disturbance area, there was a reduction in the overall extent by 342.03 km2. Furthermore, minor disturbances occupy a dominant position and are mainly distributed in the central and southern parts of the NRB. The main landscape types in these regions are forestlands, shrub lands, and grasslands. First, the area of minor disturbances had decreased, which later showed a significant overall increase of 382.66 km2. The implementation of an ecological policy has effectively curbed the intensity of regional AD, in line with the principles of sustainable development. The mean values of AD in the four study periods were 3.839, 3.844, 3.861, and 3.794, respectively. This phenomenon indicates that the amplitude of AD has remained stable from 1990 to 2000, it increased from 2000 to 2010, and then it decreased significantly after 2010. However, with the rapid urbanization process in the basin, the AD in the region is obviously aggravated and continues to expand.

3.3.2. Atlas Characteristics Analysis

Based on ArcGIS 10.8 driven analysis and geo-information atlas theory, the maps of changes due to AD of the three periods in the NRB were reconstructed. The spatio-temporal variations that were characteristic of AD during the 30 years at the study site were explored. The key driving mechanisms behind the changes due to AD were revealed (Figure 6 and Table 4). A total of 11 types of atlases have changed from 1990 to 2000. The most obvious changes were “moderate → lighter disturbance (32)”, “moderate → higher disturbance (34)”, and “higher → moderate disturbance (43).” These accounted for 58.7 km2, or 50.53% of the total area of the transfer atlas. It was followed by “lighter → minor disturbance (21)” and “lighter → moderate disturbance (23)”; these transfer areas were more than 40 km2.

Most of these changes occurred in Chengmai and Tunchang, and under the influence of the “Qiongbei Comprehensive Economic Circle”, the urbanization of these regions was obvious. However, in order to effectively plan agricultural development, local governments have appropriated a certain amount of ecological land, including forests and grasslands. To a certain extent, the illegal reclamation behavior is reduced, the land use mode is optimized reasonably, and the regional landscape fragmentation is improved. Therefore, the decrease in AD in these areas is more significant.

The period from 2000 to 2010 witnessed alterations in a total of 13 categories of the atlas. The most obvious change was the one from “minor → lighter disturbance (12)”, which accounted for 26.79% of the overall extent in the transfer atlas. “Moderate → higher disturbance (34)” and “lighter→ moderate disturbance (23)” followed closely and accounted for 14.3% and 14.24% of the total area of the transfer atlas, respectively. The changes in the atlas were concentrated in Haikou City and Chengmai County. Under the double influence of the special policy of the Hainan special economic zone and the local government’s economic investment, Haikou city has developed financial and trade zones such as the Jinpan industrial development zone, yonggui industrial development zone, and free-trade zone. The process of regional urbanization has occurred rapidly. Therefore, influenced by the Haikou economic circle, Chengmai county’s economy has also experienced rapid development, particularly with respect to the industrial planning and construction within the old city economic development zone. Throughout this timeframe, a development model that prioritized economic growth over environmental concerns was adopted. As a consequence, although the regional economy made swift progress, it disrupted the balance between resource utilization and environmental protection while exacerbating the ecological risks in the local areas.

A total of 20 types of atlases have changed from 2010 to 2020. The most obvious change was in the category of “higher → minor disturbance (41)”, which accounted for 11.99% of the total area of the transfer atlas. Next, the category of “higher → moderate disturbance (43)” followed; this accounted for 10.41% of the total areas. The “higher → lighter disturbance (42)” and “moderate → lighter disturbance (31)” categories also accounted for significant changes. They were primarily distributed in the northeastern, northwestern, and northern parts of the NRB. The transfer from a high to a low disturbance category was particularly obvious. But the transition from low to high disturbance became increasingly evident during this period and constituted 46.85% of the total area depicted in the atlas. This shift was primarily concentrated within the rapid urbanization surrounding cities and towns. In June 2010, the outline of the plan for the construction of Hainan as an island for international tourism was issued, which comprehensively promoted Hainan’s tourism industry. This time proved to be a golden period, as and a large number of people have poured in. While the coastal eco-tourism industry prospered, it indirectly facilitated the rapid development of Hainan’s real estate sector, fisheries, and efficient agriculture with tropical characteristics. It also stimulated the local modern service industry to a certain extent. In particular, in 2018, the Hainan provincial government decided to build the Haikou Jiangdong new area as a key component in the construction of the China (Hainan) pilot free-trade zone. This area was constructed under the coordinated development of three regional economic circles of (Haikou, Sanya, and Dan Yang). The AD caused by human activities has emerged as the primary driving force behind the degradation of regional ecological environments, exerting significant pressure on ecological security. Coordination between regional economic development and environmental protection has emerged as an urgent concern for local governments to address.

3.3.3. Characteristic Analysis of Fluctuation Atlas

This study constructs the fluctuation atlas of AD to reveal the dynamic variations in the regional AD (Figure 7). The overall disturbance amplitude remained stable from 1990 to 2010. Haikou and the counties of Chengmai and Ding ‘an are the main places where the maps have changed. Amongst these, Haikou city has gathered most of the areas that were recorded to have ‘slight’ and ‘significant’ levels of improvement. Under the influence of the “Haikou Chengmai Wenchang” integrated “Qiongbei comprehensive economic circle”, regional tourism, real estate, and efficient agriculture with tropical characteristics have been developed to a certain extent. The slight and significant decreases were distributed in the periphery of villages and towns in the middle reaches of the NRB. Due to policy of converting farmlands back to the forests, such transformations have resulted in a decrease in degree of AD. On the one hand, due to the acceleration of urbanization, the improvement areas from 2010 to 2020 are mainly distributed in Haikou city, in counties of Ding ‘an, Chengmai and Tunchang, and in other towns. However, even in some of the areas encountering rapid economic development, the distribution is primarily concentrated in the northern region of the NRB, and AD has declined. To a large extent, the local government has carried out ecological and environmental risk assessment work in the NRB in the region and clearly stipulated that economic development should be based on the principle of ecological protection. Forests, grass, and wetlands falling within the designated ecological red lines should be safeguarded while harnessing their full potential for delivering valuable ecosystem services [37] so that a high level of coordination in ecological and economic development is achieved in the basin.

3.4. Correlation between Hemeroby and LP Indices

As shown in Table 5, all the types of disturbances showed significant correlations with LPI during 1990–2020 (p p

5. Conclusions

Based on the LULCC data, this study introduced the hemeroby index and analyzed the dynamic changes in LP and AD in the NRB using GIS and geo-information atlas methods. Furthermore, it quantified the trajectory characteristics of AD. The key findings are as follows: the built-up land area exhibited the most conspicuous increase of 115.8 km2, which was concentrated in the northern cities such as Haikou, Chengmai, and Ding’ an. During the study period, fragmentation, patch shape, and diversity of the landscape increased in the NRB. Over the past three decades, the overall AD in the NRB increased first (1990–2010), and then decreased (2010–2020). Early irregular agriculture and excessive economic construction are the main reasons for the increase in AD. It is worth noting that due to some positive human activities, such as the construction of the rainforest national park and the protection of the Songtao Reservoir water source point, the impact of AD on the NRB has been reduced. But some areas are still increasing (built-up area of Haikou City). At the same time, these positive activities have led to a gradual reduction in the area of high-level AD in the basin. However, due to urbanization, strong disturbances in some cities and counties have become more obvious. In addition, the increase in the number of AD atlases indicates that regional human activity is becoming more frequent. All the types of AD showed significant spatial correlations with LPI. The fragmentation of the NRB landscape is serious, and the landscape diversity is continuously declining.

The spatial heterogeneity of LP in the NRB is influenced to a certain extent by the intensity of AD in our study. The highest and lowest intensities of AD contribute to the monogeneity of both human and natural landscape structures, as well as the homogenization of LP. However, intermediate levels of AD result in heightened fragmentation of regional semi-natural landscapes, the development of intricate patch patterns, reduced connectivity, intensified landscape heterogeneity, and increased species diversity.

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